Coors Field starters can be scary, but Gray put some solid work on the tape last year. His ERA, like Ray’s, was iffy (4.60) but it was also backed by a sturdy FIP (3.60) that showed he fanned a ton of batters (9.9 K/9), kept the walks more or less in check (3.2 BB/9) and most importantly, he kept the ball in the park (1.0 HR/9).
Gray’s splits were a bit strange last season, as he allowed more fly balls but fewer home runs per fly ball in the second half, so that’ll certainly be a trend worth monitoring as he pitches half his starts in the thin Denver air. Last year at Coors, opposing batters hit just .235/.291/.383 against him — yet that still resulted in a 4.30 ERA.
That seems to be due for some positive regression. The top fantasy starter in Colorado might be a little like winning Homecoming King as a homeschooler, but this is a guy who throws a legit 95 mph fastball with a terrific slider (24.1 percent whiff rate). I’ll take a chance on that as the 47th pitcher off the board (No. 182 overall).
By Brandon Warne